• He that would make his own liberty secure, must guard even his enemy; for if he violates this duty he establishes a precedent that will reach himself. - Thomas Paine

Central Banking

Three Inconvenient Questions

In July, Irish banks – without exception – passed the “stress tests” imposed upon them by European governments and regulators. A mere four months later, these very same banks have brought the Irish Republic to its knees; and a report overnight from Reuters quotes the head of its central bank: “as far as [the Irish government] is concerned, they’re [all] up for sale.”

1. Is it possible that the European (and, by implication, American, Australian, et al.) “stress tests” were and are utterly bogus, and thus can't and won’t prevent “sound” banks from hitting the wall? Today, Bank of Ireland claims a core Tier 1 ratio of about 8% (as, indeed, did Washington Mutual on the day it shut its doors), yet the market refuses to lend to it. Greek, Portuguese and some Spanish banks (Spain’s biggest, Santander, boasts a Tier 1 cap ratio of ca. 8.5%) have similarly found themselves shut out of private-sector funding markets.

2. Is it possible that Basle III (never mind I and II) are pointless irrelevancies that can't and won’t shield banks from failure? During the past several years, Australian banks have passed three “stress tests” conducted by APRA, and all presently boast (quite literally!) Tier 1 cap ratios of ca. 8-9%.

3. If (from the point of view of soundness) passing a stress test means nothing, and if Tier 1 cap ratios mean nothing, then can somebody please explain to me why Australian banks are allegedly invulnerable? (Note: invocation of the phrases “Wayne Swan/RBA/Treasury vehemently insist they’re sound” and “S&P says they’re sound” doesn’t count as evidence.)

Irish Banks passed 'Stress Tests' - Irish Economy didn't. The lesson for Australia.

By Chris Leithner  
Thu, 02/12/2010 - 4:49pm
Wed, 24/11/2010 - 12:00am

From 612 ABC Radio with Steve Austin:

To avoid financial catastrophe, banks have to pass what's called a 'stress test' in order to demonstrate they can sustain their loan activities - unlike what's currently happening to the banks in Ireland....But wait a minute. They all passed their stress tests. What's going on? Chris Leithner investigates.

The Evil of Fiat

By Chris Leithner  
Sun, 14/11/2010 - 9:11pm
Tue, 09/03/2010 - 12:00am

Chris Leithner on 612 ABC Brisbane discussing in the first ten minutes: "Quantitative Easing" and what it means; Printing Money out of thin air; Failure of Keynesian Economics; Way to Prosperity: Through savings and production, not debt and consumption; Laws of Economics.

CBA profits from socialist banking system

By Anthony Coralluzzo  
Wed, 11/08/2010 - 2:29pm
Wed, 11/08/2010 - 2:29pm

Commonwealth Bank of Australia Ltd (CBA) has announced a $5.66 billion annual profit for 09-10 and the usual suspects are demonising "free markets" and "capitalism" as the cause.

The problem with this critique is that free markets don't exist in the banking system. The reason the Commonwealth Bank makes these massive profits is that government provides them with powers that they would not have in a free market.

The first and most obvious is the access they have to the most horrific government agency of them all, the Reserve Bank of Australia. The Reserve Bank creates its own deposits out of thin air. It is able to do this because the government has allowed it to. It then lends out these deposits at an interest rate determined by a group of disturbingly secretive government bureaucrats.

Then there is government-ordained fractional reserve banking, the government-ordained currency monopoly and more.

The point is, don't be fooled by the zealots. Banks make their big profits because of government, not the market.

The Moral Hazard of Central Banking

By Gary North  
Tue, 15/12/2009 - 2:07pm
Fri, 27/07/2007 - 1:00am

Let me present a syllogism. 1. Theft is immoral. 2. Inflation is theft. 3. Fractional reserve banking is inflationary. 4. Central banking is government-guaranteed fractional reserve banking. 5. Immorality leads to judgment.

Therefore, we should expect. . . ?

Economists, other than Murray Rothbard's disciples, never associate the concept of theft with monetary inflation. They speak of theft in terms of reduced efficiency and increased transactions costs, not morality.

When it comes to avoiding morality, they are worse than lawyers. A lawyer might appeal to morality if he had a really weak case. This appeal might persuade a jury. An economist would rather lose the argument than appeal to morality. He regards the shame of invoking morality as personally more inefficient than winning the argument by an appeal to morality. Once you appeal to morality, academic economic theory collapses. Economics was the first science to be self-consciously designed to avoid moral questions.

Central Bankers are Bankrupt

By Anthony Coralluzzo  
Thu, 23/07/2009 - 2:53pm
Tue, 16/06/2009 - 1:00am

Bernanke has been wrong every step of the way. He is either a liar or an idiot.

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